2019 ISAKOS Biennial Congress ePoster #817
Preoperative Predictors of 16-Year Acceptable Knee Function and Osteoarthritis After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction: An Analysis Based on 147 Patients from Two Randomized Controlled Trials
Eric H. Senorski, PT, PhD, MSc, Västra Frölunda SWEDEN
David S. Sundemo, MD, Stenungsund, Västra Götaland SWEDEN
Eleonor Svantesson, MD, Gothenburg SWEDEN
Ninni Sernert, PhD, RPT, Trollhättan SWEDEN
Jüri T. Kartus, MD, PhD, Trollhättan SWEDEN
Jon Karlsson, Prof., Mölndal SWEDEN
Kristian Samuelsson, MD, PhD, MSc, Prof., Mölndal SWEDEN
University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, SWEDEN
FDA Status Not Applicable
Patients who were older at the time of ACL reconstruction and had waited more than a year between the injury and reconstruction ran an increased risk of having OA 16 years after reconstruction.
To determine preoperative predictors of acceptable knee function and the development of osteoarthritis (OA) after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction.
This study is a long-term follow-up of two previous randomised controlled trials. Patient demographics, preoperative clinical assessments and intraoperative findings were used to create stepwise multivariable regression models to determine the patient-acceptable symptom state (PASS) in the International Knee Documentation Committee (IKDC) and the development of OA defined as Kellgren-Lawrence =2. Knee laxity measurements, hop performance, patient-reported outcome and concomitant injuries were determined as variables.
A total of 147 patients (63.7% males) were eligible for inclusion, with a mean follow-up of 16.4±1.3 years. The patients had an average age of 27.9±8.3 years at the time of ACL reconstruction. Half the cohort reported an IKDC score above the PASS cut-off. The presence of a concomitant injury at operation, OR=2.61 (95% CI; 1.10-6.21), p=0.030, and greater preoperative anteroposterior laxity, OR=1.87 (95% CI; 1.05-3.35), p = 0.034, increased the likelihood of achieving a PASS. A longer period between ACL injury and reconstruction, OR=2.25 (95% CI; 1.02-5.00), p=0.046, and older age at reconstruction, OR=2.28 (95% CI; 1.34-3.86), p=0.0023, increased the odds of developing OA at follow-up.
Patients who were older at the time of ACL reconstruction and had waited more than a year between the injury and reconstruction ran an increased risk of having OA 16 years after reconstruction. One in two patients reported acceptable long-term knee function, but no risk
factor for poorer subjective knee function was identified.